September 26, 2026

Marktanalysen

Futures Basis & Cash-and-Carry erklärt: Spotpreis, Fair Value, Carry und warum Arbitrage nicht risikolos ist

Futures Basis erklärt: Spot vs. Futures, Cost of Carry, Fair Value, Cash-and-Carry-Arbitrage, Repo, Dividenden, Convenience Yield und die Risiken hinter scheinbar sicheren Basis Trades.

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Vanna & Charm bei Optionen erklärt: Wie Volatilität und Zeit das Delta verschieben – und wann Dealer-Hedging den Markt beeinflussen kann

Vanna und Charm erklärt: Wie implizite Volatilität und Zeit das Delta von Optionen verändern, was daraus für Dealer-Hedging folgt und warum daraus kein mechanisches Kaufsignal entsteht.

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Marktbreite erklärt: Advance-Decline Line, New Highs, 200-Tage-Breite und warum ein Index Stärke vortäuschen kann

Marktbreite erklärt: Advance-Decline Line, Advance-Decline Volume, New Highs/New Lows, 200-Tage-Breite, Divergenzen und warum Indexrekorde täuschen können.

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COT-Report erklärt: Commercials, Managed Money, Netto-Positionierung und wie Trader die Daten richtig lesen

COT-Report richtig lesen: Commercials, Managed Money, Leveraged Funds, Netto-Positionierung, COT-Index, Zeitverzug und warum extreme Positionierung kein automatisches Umkehrsignal ist.

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Copper Hits Record High Above $14,500: AI Data Centers, Tariffs and the Supply Squeeze Behind the Rally

Copper has surged above $14,500 per metric ton even as some forecasts still show a refined-market surplus. The paradox makes sense once you separate mine supply, regional inventories, U.S. tariff.

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Oil Price Near $100: Saudi Attacks, Hormuz Risk and the Inflation Shock Markets Can’t Ignore

Brent crude is back near $100 after attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure and renewed supply fears around Hormuz. The real market risk is not just higher oil — it is.

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ECB September 2026: Rates Rise 25bp to 2.50% — What the Decision Means for Markets

The ECB raised all three key rates by 25 basis points on September 10. The deposit rate is now 2.50%, and the new inflation path keeps further tightening risk alive.

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Gold Price 2026: Why Central Banks, Debt and Falling Trust Could Keep the Bull Market Alive

Gold is trading near record levels as central banks keep buying, sovereign debt costs rise and investors seek diversification. We examine the structural drivers, real-yield risks and realistic 2026 scenarios.

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US PPI August 2026: Actual 0.4%, 5.4% YoY — What It Means for the Fed

US PPI for August 2026 rose 0.4% month over month and 5.4% year over year. Here is the actual-versus-forecast breakdown and the market impact.

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Fed September 2026: Rate Hike Odds Near 90% After CPI — What to Expect on September 16

Markets now price roughly a 90% chance of a 25-bp Fed hike on September 16 after August CPI. Here is what matters for stocks, bonds, the dollar and the dot.

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